Extensively adopted crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen says that Bitcoin (BTC) and crypto markets don’t have historical past on their facet proper now, and are going through the specter of a hefty correction to the draw back.
Cowen tells his 751,000 Twitter followers that even with this yr’s rally, BTC continues to be following the identical bear market patterns of 2015 and 2019.
Cowen shares a chart plotting Bitcoin’s present year-to-date return on funding (ROI) overlayed with the typical of the identical metric for 2015 and 2019.
“I do know there have been a variety of requires ‘This time is completely different,’ however regardless of every thing, BTC in 2023 continues to be intently monitoring the typical of 2015/2019.”
If historical past performs out the identical means, the analyst offers a tough goal of $23,000 for Bitcoin, or a couple of 23% drop from present ranges.
“If we hit the lows of the 2015/2019 common, it might imply BTC going again to $23k someday later this yr.”
Cowen shares the identical chart for Ethereum (ETH), suggesting the identical state of affairs for the world’s prime good contract platform.
“ETH in 2023 in comparison with 2019.”
In a current video replace, Cowen stated that Bitcoin and altcoins normally had been in the identical sort of bear market bounce that they went via in earlier cycles, reasonably than the start of a bull run.
Says Cowen,
“My view is that till confirmed in any other case, the altcoin market continues to be no completely different than what now we have beforehand seen. No completely different. The alt market bounced in opposition to Bitcoin in 2018, it bounced in opposition to Bitcoin in 2019, however by the top of 2019, it had come all the best way again right down to 25% of Bitcoin’s market cap…
[The 2019 altcoin rally] bounced again as much as the bull market help band at round 0.53, in order that’s proper round the place the bull market help band is true now, perhaps barely decrease, it’s at 0.52, so 52%…
My guess is that the Bitcoin dominance rally will finally proceed. It could be backtesting that 49% to 50% degree, however my guess is that it’s going to finally proceed, and it’ll be as a result of internet liquidity begins to return down once more.”
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