With the US Presidential Elections approaching, we had been curious to see the place Lebanese opinions stood, so we polled completely different segments of our readers.
Whereas this isn’t an official ballot, the outcomes give an attention-grabbing glimpse into how Lebanese communities view the race. We polled three fundamental teams:
- Lebanese residing within the US
- Arabic-speaking Lebanese in Lebanon
- English-speaking Lebanese in Lebanon
Throughout all segments, Donald Trump emerged because the clear favourite. Right here’s how the numbers broke down:
- Lebanese in America: Trump: 61.9%, Kamala Harris: 23.8%, Don’t Know: 2%, Different: 12.2%
- Arabic-speaking Lebanese: Trump: 54.3%, Harris: 15.4%, Don’t Know: 22.2%, Different: 8%
- English-speaking Lebanese: Trump: 65.1%, Harris: 16.6%, Don’t Know: 7.8%, Different: 10.5%
In each group, Trump held a big lead over Harris, and within the Arabic-speaking phase, “Don’t Know” had a notable presence, inserting second and Harris in third.
A potential issue behind Trump’s reputation amongst Lebanese voters may very well be his robust stance on Iran, which resonates with many as a result of rising anti-Hezbollah sentiment amongst Lebanese. As Hezbollah is backed by Iran, Trump’s insurance policies have probably appealed to Lebanese who oppose Hezbollah’s affect within the nation.
Kamala Harris, who got here in second general, had stronger help amongst English-speaking Lebanese, whereas many Arabic audio system expressed uncertainty, with a big portion selecting “Don’t Know.” This may occasionally replicate the gap or lack of familiarity with the US political system amongst Arabic audio system and extra probably, the dominance of Trump in Arabic media protection.
The outcomes reveal an attention-grabbing break up in Lebanese opinions, with Trump sustaining a dominant place throughout all segments, pushed by his international coverage stance, notably in the direction of Iran and Hezbollah. Because the US election attracts nearer, it is going to be attention-grabbing to see if these views evolve or stay firmly in Trump’s favor.
Moreover, Trump has a novel connection to Lebanon by way of his son-in-law, Michael Boulos. who married Tiffany Trump 2 years in the past.
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Methodology: The 961 ballot was performed by working polls with the query “Who do you wish to win the US Presidential Elections” with these 4 choices to select from: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Don’t Know, and Different.” The polls had been printed on Sept. 11, 2024, on our Lebanese in america Fb group, our Arabic language WhatsApp Channel, and our English Language WhatsApp Channel – working for 48 hours earlier than we collected the outcomes. With a mixed 2,453 respondents and a margin of error of ±1.98% at a 95% confidence stage.
