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AI Isn’t Driving Tech Layoffs — and It’s Time to Change the Narrative

February 21, 2024
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  • Layoffs have been sweeping the tech sector and a few are blaming AI.
  • Nevertheless, there’s little proof to indicate that AI is driving mass cuts within the business.
  • An AI lecturer says we have to look extra intently at different components that might be guilty.

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Bull

Fears about AI resulting in job cuts are more and more widespread, particularly as on a regular basis utilization of the know-how grows.

A number of studies have indicated that the tech would, or already is, affect the labor drive.

In January, Duolingo laid off 10% of its contractors. A consultant instructed Bloomberg on the time that “we simply now not want as many individuals to do the kind of work a few of these contractors have been doing. A part of that might be attributed to AI.” The job discount wasn’t a “straight substitute” of staff with AI, they added.

Swedish fintech Klarna froze hiring a month earlier, with its CEO saying AI would decide up the slack from misplaced staffers when pure attrition occurred.

We could also be listening to extra about AI’s utilization at tech firms, however it will be a stretch to say the period of AI-related layoffs is already right here.

Fabian Stephany, who lectures about AI on the Oxford Web Institute, stated: “Combating in opposition to robots is a pleasant cowl story,” he stated. “However in case you have a more in-depth look, it is usually old skool, easy financial dynamics like outsourcing or lead administration chopping prices to extend salaries in different places.”

Nevertheless it’s unlikely the tech is enjoying a direct position within the wider cuts throughout the business.

Proof is missing

Trade leaders have been eager to indicate traders they’re prepared and keen to capitalize on the know-how.

A Gallup survey from final yr discovered that 72% of Fortune 500 chief human sources officers assume AI is ready to interchange jobs of their firm within the subsequent three years.

Regardless of noise about changing staff with robots, although, there’s been little clear proof that is happening.

AI remains to be enjoying an “ambiguous” position within the labor market, Stephany stated. “It isn’t that on a mass scale jobs are being automated away. It simply comes all the way down to augmenting and automating sure issues.”

Earlier than one other spherical of mass layoffs hit the tech business in January, there have been already studies that firms have been beginning to incorporate their very own AI know-how.

The Data reported in December that Google was starting to rely extra on machine-learning methods to assist clients purchase advertisements.

The event was inflicting anxiousness within the advert gross sales departments, per the report, which later confronted a spherical of job cuts. A spokesperson for the corporate instructed Enterprise Insider’s Hugh Langley that this reorganization was unrelated to AI instruments.

Whereas freelancers and particular person staff have expressed suspicions that language-based AI like ChatGPT has stolen work from them, firms present process rounds of layoffs have typically kept away from blaming the tech.

A change of focus

Whereas AI could not merely substitute staff, firms’ funding in AI improvement could also be inflicting cutbacks in different areas.

As Fortune’s Jeremy Kahn notes, many roles being lower aren’t typically these the place AI replaces the necessity for human staff. In layoff memos, a lot of the mentions of AI have centered on refocusing or doubling down on funding into the buzzy tech.

SAP, for instance, introduced a restructuring plan with a brand new deal with AI final month — a change that affected about 8,000 staff’ jobs.

Dan Ives, a tech analyst at Wedbush Securities, instructed CNBC that redundancies would seemingly proceed all year long, primarily as firms pivot their focus to spending on the AI sector. For instance, bringing in new AI expertise is pricey and more and more aggressive.

Whereas we’ll inevitably see AI extra steadily used amongst tech firms, we must be cautious of it getting used as a scapegoat for layoffs when different, extra acquainted components might additionally play their half.

A Duolingo consultant stated in an announcement to BI: “On the finish of 2023, Duolingo didn’t renew round 10% of our contractor workforce. In some instances, this was as a result of the contractor’s venture concluded or as a result of their work was now not wanted resulting from modifications in how we generate and share content material between our 100+ language programs.”

It added: “In each occasion, we tried to search out alternate roles for every contractor earlier than off-boarding as a final resort.”

Klarna declined to remark additional on the corporate’s hiring freezes.



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