Irish Have Won 46% Of The Last 13 Renewals

The 2022 Ebor Handicap traits will definitely assist slender down the 22 runners forward of Europe’s most beneficial flat handicap this Saturday. In recent times we’ve seen 13 of the final 20 Ebor winners aged 4 or 5, whereas 85% of the final 20 profitable horses carried 9st 5lbs. Nonetheless, we’ve additionally seen the Irish stables having a terrific document within the race – profitable 6 of the final 13 – so, let’s see who they’re sending over this yr. Andy Newton takes a glance.

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What Date Is The 2022 Ebor Handicap?

The Sky Guess Ebor Handicap is the richest flat handicap run in Europe and staged over 1m6f on the York Ebor Pageant in August.

📅Date: Saturday twentieth August 2022
🏇Racecourse: York
💰 Winner: £300,000 (Handicap)
📺 TV: ITV / Racing TV

Irish Trainers Love To Goal The Ebor Handicap

Since 2009, the Irish have landed this Saturday’s Sky Guess Ebor Handicap six instances which works out at a 46% strike-rate – not too shabby proper?

They did the enterprise once more 12 months in the past when the Johnny Murtagh-trained Sonnyboyliston took the dear prime prize to again up the secure’s different win in 2014 (Mutual Regard).

We’ve even seen the Willie Mullins (2009, Sesenta) and Gordon Elliott (2010, Dirar) Irish yards get in on the act, whereas Tony Martin (2016, Heartbreak Metropolis) and Ger Lyons (2019, Mustajeer) are the opposite Emerald Isle yards to focus on the race with success.

With that in thoughts, it might be silly to not check out the Irish 2022 Ebor Handicap entries for this yr’s race.

Full Checklist Of 2022 Irish Ebor Handicap Runners

EARL OF TYRONE @ SP with 888Sport

• Coach: P Twomey
• Jockey: W J Lee
• Age: 4
• Weight: 9-5
• Kind: 3-3111

Winner of his final three races and heads right here as a contender for being despatched off because the Ebor Handicap favorite. The final win got here in a Listed race at Limerick so the convenience again right into a handicap will assist and common rider Billy Lee makes the journey over. He’s additionally obtained profitable kind over 1m6f, so this step again up in journey might be no situation. Seems to be an enormous participant, with the important thing age (4) and weight traits onside too.

OKITA SOUSHI @ SP with 888Sport

• Coach: Joseph Patrick O’Brien
• Jockey: M P Sheehy (3)
• Age: 4
• Weight: 9-8
• Kind: 13-232

From the Joseph O’Brien yard, who’re but to win this race. Nonetheless, you are feeling it received’t be lengthy earlier than they’re snatching an Ebor. This 4 year-old is lightly-raced with solely 5 runs and is but to complete out of the primary three. Been freshened up with 44 days off since his final run and the helpful Irish claimer  M P Sheehy comes over to take off a useful 3lbs. Been supported within the lead-up to the race and is certain to have his supporters.

EVER PRESENT @ SP with 888Sport

Coach: Mrs John Harrington
Jockey: Shane Foley
Age: 6
Weight: 9-9
Kind: 1121-4

One other yard (Jessie Harrington) nonetheless in search of their first on this race, however have an honest probability right here. Returned final month with a good fourth at Down Royal in a Listed race over this 1m6f journey, so must be loads fitter for that right here. Earlier than that had received over 1m6f at Leopardstown again in Sept 21 and has received 4 of his 9 profession begins. Is, nonetheless, one other 7lbs increased within the rankings right here from final time, so regardless of having a dwell e/w probability, might want to enhance once more.

LICENCE @ SP with 888Sport

Coach: Ger Lyons
Jockey: Gary Carroll
Age: 4
Weight: 9-5
Kind: 1-274

From the Ger Lyons yard that received this race in 2019. Returned earlier this month to be 4th at Leopardstown in a G3 race, so will discover this ease in school to his liking. That was additionally his first run again from being gelded and his first for 3 months too, so will enhance for it. Age and weight traits on his aspect and have had his supporters within the ante-post market within the lead-up to the race. Seems to be a full of life each-way contender.

BENAUD @ SP with 888Sport

Coach: Joseph Patrick O’Brien
Jockey: Jim Crowley
Age: 4
Weight: 9-4
Kind: 27-791

Second runner from the Joseph O’Brien yard that might be carrying within the widespread inexperienced/gold silks of proprietor JP McManus. Final seen profitable simply at Bellewstown over 1m4f on the finish of June, so you are feeling he’s value one other crack over this longer journey. Honest-looking probability and Jim Crowley, of Baaeed fame, has been booked to trip.

SHANROE @ SP with 888Sport

Coach: Karl Thornton
Jockey: Robbie Colgan
Age: 8
Weight: 9-7
Kind: /140-1

From the lesser Irish yard of Karl Thornton, however not and not using a squeak both. One of many extra exprienced within the discipline although with 21 races, however has received 9 of these. Final seen profitable at Galway at their Pageant and solely up 4lbs for that success. Nonetheless, being an 8 year-old does have a hefty age pattern to beat – the final Ebor winner aged 8 or older was the mighty Sea Pigeon in 1979, who received the race as a 9 year-old.

17 Of The Final 20 Ebor Winners Carried 9st 5lbs Or Much less

This weight pattern is one other to look out for with an 85% return within the final 20 runnings. And of the 22 runners, it’s a stat that can see the highest 12 on the cardboard fall down. Due to this fact, if this pattern is to be upheld then abruptly the 22 runners grow to be 10!

These have greater than 9st 5lbs to carrry are Get Shirty, Enemy, Max Vega, Fancy Man, Ever Current, John Leeper, Okita Soushi, International Storm, Rodrigo Diaz, Shanroe, Raymond Tusk and Candleford.

16 Of The Final 20 Ebor Winners Hailed From A Double-Determine Draw

That is one other key pattern to notice is that 80% of the final 20 Ebor winners got here from a double-figure draw. Regardless of the race being run over 1m6f, having a very good place in the course of the race might be key to saving floor and power over this longer distance.

If this pattern is to be repeated, then we are able to put a line via these draw 1-9, these embrace the doubtless favorite – Earl Of Tyrone, who’s drawn 8. Different drawn low are Max Vega, Euchen Glen, Shanroe, Quenell D’Or, Not So Sleepy (res), Ever Current, Valley Forge and Alfred Boucher.

Simply Two Profitable Ebor Handicap Favourites Since 1999

The Ebor Handicap has additionally been a graveyard race for favorite backers in current instances – simply two profitable market leaders since 1999!

The final of these jollies to win was Puple Moon in 2007, skilled by Luca Cumani, with previous to that the Henry Cecil-trained Tuning (1998).

We’ve even at a 100/1 winner of the race in 2006 (Mudawin), plus 4 winners at 25/1 and 33/1 since 2008, so something is feasible on this 1m6f contest.

This yr’s Ebor favorite (at this stage) is the Irish-trained Earl Of Tyrone, however that might simply change within the build-up to the race.

Solely One Ebor Handicap Winner Aged 7 Or Older Since 1980

One other massive pattern is the age. The Ebor Handicap tends to go to horses aged between 4 and 6 years-old. This age vary has been answerable for an enormous 18 of the final 19 (95%) winners!

A stonking pattern and that has additionally backed up with simply two winners aged 7 or older since 1980 – the 7 year-old Litigant received in 2015 after which you may to return to the mighty Sea Pigeon in 1979, who received aged 9, to seek out the oldest current winners of the Ebor.

Sure, stats are there to be damaged (or so they are saying!), however I’m nonetheless comfortable to place a line via the older brigade within the race – Euchen Glen (9), Shanroe (8), Raymond Tusk (7) and Not So Sleepy (Res) (10).

2022 Ebor Handicap Different Key Developments and Stats

• 19/20 – Aged 6 or youthful
• 17/20 – Carried 9-5 or much less
• 17/20 – Had received over at the very least 1m4f earlier than
• 16/20 – Received from a double-figure stall
• 13/20 – Aged both 4 or 5 years-old
• 12/20 – Carried 9-1 or much less
• 12/20 – Had 3 or extra runs already that season
• 12/20 – Unplaced favourites
• 11/20 – Had run at York earlier than
• 6/20 – Ran at Ascot final trip
• 6/20 – Received final trip
• 6/20 – Irish-trained winners (6 of the final 13)
• 4/20 – Ran at Goodwood final trip
• 3/20 – Ran at Galway final trip
• 2/20 – Skilled by Johnny Murtagh (2 of final 8)
• 2/20 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
• 2/20 – Positioned horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
• 2/20 – Profitable favourites
• Simply two profitable favourites since 1999
• Since 1980 just one winner aged 7 or older
• 6 of the final 8 winners had been aged 5 or 6 years-old
• Coach Sir Michael Stoute received the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996
• The typical profitable SP within the final 20 years is nineteen/1

DID YOU KNOW?: 17 of the final 20 Ebor Handicap winners carried 9st-5lbs or much less. So, why not snap-up a FREE £60 guess with BetUK to make use of on the race and again a horse that matches this key weight pattern.

2022 Ebor Handicap Betting and Full Runners

See under the total 22 runners entered for the 2022 Ebor Handicap on Saturday twentieth Aug, plus we check out the newest Ebor Handicap Betting market.

All odds right as of 17:19 BST on Thurs 18 Aug and topic to alter

Latest Ebor Handicap Winners

• 2021 – Sonnyboyliston (10/1)
• 2020 – Fujaira Prince (11/2)
• 2019 – Mustajeer (16/1)
• 2018 – Muntahaa (11/1)
• 2017 – Nakeeta (12/1)
• 2016 – Heartbreak Metropolis (15/2)
• 2015 – Litigant (33/1)
• 2014 – Mutual Regard (20/1)
• 2013 – Tiger Cliff (5/1)
• 2012 – Prepared Foe (12/1)

Watch The 2021 Sky Guess Ebor Handicap Once more

York Race Occasions and Names | Saturday twentieth August 2022

• 1:50 – Sky Guess And Symphony Group Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m1f ITV
• 2:25 – Sky Guess Melrose Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo) 1m6f ITV
• 3:00 – Sky Guess Metropolis Of York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f ITV
• 3:35 – Sky Guess Ebor Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV
• 4:10 – Sky Guess Constantine Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 6f ITV
• 4:45 – Julia Graves Roses Stakes (Listed Race) (IRE Incentive Race) Cl1 (2yo) 5f RTV
• 5:20 – Sky Guess Finale Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m2½f RTV

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