Irish Oaks 2022 Tips, Trends and Horses Winning Probability

The Irish Oaks 2022 is among the standout horse races this Saturday (sixteenth July) from the Curragh racecourse, however unfortunatley Emily Upjohn WON’T be heading to Eire after having journey points. This leaves the Jessie Harrington-trained Magical Lagoon as the brand new Irish Oaks betting favorite. Andy Newton takes a take a look at the newest betting, every horses likelihood of profitable and the primary 2022 Irish Oaks developments.

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What Time Is The 2022 Irish Oaks?

🕙Time: 3:45pm (UK time)
📅Date: Saturday sixteenth July 2022
🏇Racecourse: Curragh Races
💰 Winner: €285,000
📺 TV: RacingTV/ITV

DID YOU KNOW? 14 of the final 19 Irish Oaks winners returned 9/2 or shorter within the betting.

Irish Oaks Traits and Stats

Assist discover the winner of this Saturday’s 2022 Irish Oaks on the Curragh utilizing our key developments and stats

• 18/19 – Raced throughout the final 6 weeks
• 17/19 – Completed 1^st or 2^nd final day trip
• 15/19 – Got here from the highest 3 within the betting
• 14/19 – Returned 9/2 or shorter within the betting
• 14/19 – Gained final day trip
• 13/19 – Had received between 1-2 instances earlier than
• 12/19 – Positioned favourites
• 11/19 – Gained over 1m4f earlier than
• 9/19 – Gained by a UK-based coach
• 9/19 – Ran within the Epsom Oaks final day trip
• 8/19 – Profitable distance, 3 lengths or extra
• 7/19 – Had received a Group One earlier than
• 7/19 – Profitable favourites
• 6/19 – Educated by Aidan O’Brien
• 6/19 – Gained the Epsom Oaks final day trip
• 4/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in complete)
• 2/19 – Educated by John Gosden (2 of the final 5)
• The common profitable SP within the final 19 years is 9/2

Magical Lagoon Our 2022 Irish Oaks Tip

Emily Upjohn had been the nice and cozy favorite for the Irish Oaks all week, however on Friday the John Gosden horse suffered a journey difficulty which means her airplane couldn’t get her to Eire. There’s now speak of her being rerouted to the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes at Ascot subsequent Saturday, the place she’s @ 5/2 with BoylesSports and is about to tackle the Irish Derby winner Westover @ 6/4 with BoyleSports

However the different Irish Oaks runners for Saturday’s Curragh race will likely be happy Emily Upjohn hasn’t made the race as their job will likely be that a lot simpler.

In consequence, the Irish Oaks betting market was shaken up badly after the Emily Upjohn information, which noticed the Jessie Harrington-trained MAGICAL LAGOON @ 6/5 with BoyleSports put in as the brand new market chief for the three:45 Curragh race on Saturday.

This 3 year-old was final seen profitable the G2 Ribblesdale Stakes at Royal Ascot in June on solely her fifth profession run. That was her first strive over this 1m4f journey too, however she stayed on effectively that day to see off Sea Silk Street, with one other runner on Saturday – Historical past – again in third. On that type she’s the clear one to beat.

Add in that she’s additionally a confirmed course winner right here on the Curragh, after profitable over a mile on the observe final August, then the observe is ok too. Common rider Shane Foley rides once more too and, in what seems to be a weak Group One race now, she’s been given a high likelihood to get a win on the highest degree and likewise present her coach – Jessie Harrington – along with her first success on this high Irish race.

BACK MAGICAL LAGOON @ 6/5 with BoyleSports

Aidian O’Brien Has 6 Irish Oaks Wins To His Identify

Coach Aidan O’Brien has received the Irish Oaks six instances and desires only one extra win to carry the file outright as essentially the most profitable coach on this Group One.

He’s in all probability not bought as sturdy a hand as he usually has along with his Epsom Oaks winner – Tuesday – now a non-runner, so will likely be counting on Historical past, Emily Dickinson and Toy.

Historical past is certain to draw some each-way gamers as she was solely crushed 3 1/4 lengths behind Magical Lagoon within the Ribblesdale, whereas Emily Dickinson was a detailed second over 1m6f final day trip within the G3 Stanerra Stakes at Leopardstown, so we all know she stays additional than this 1m4f journey.

It’s attention-grabbing although that their fundamental jockey – Ryan Moore – has determined to journey TOY @ 13/2 with BoyleSports. In consequence this 3 year-old Galileo filly has are available in for a little bit of assist, however barring a win over 7f at Cork again in April she’s but to set the world alight.

She was final seen being effectively crushed in France within the Prix de Diane Longines, however Moore, who has received the Irish Oaks twice prior to now, should really feel there’s extra to return and if all 8 remaining Irish Oaks runenrs stand their floor this one is certain to draw the each-way worth hunters.

Irish Oaks Greatest Of The Relaxation

I’ve already talked about the O’Brien runners, however different of curiosity of the biggest-priced runenrs is the Ger Lyons-trained CAIRDE GO DEO @ 11/2 with BoyleSports.

Cairde Go Deo will get the nod as the perfect outsider. She’s clearly on the up after wins at Navan and Leopardstown in Listed races and we all know she stays this journey effectively with these successes coming over 1m5f and 1m4f.

Sure, she’ll want to enhance once more now upped to the highest desk, however has been profitable her races from the entrance below jockey Colin Keane and may simply be capable of run the end out of a few of these with comparable techniques. Add in that she’s been freshened up with 44 days off and that she’s additionally a confirmed course winner (7f), then of these at larger costs she seems to be essentially the most attention-grabbing.

Favourites Have A 37% Strike-rate In The Final 19 Runnings

The primary key pattern in favour of the brand new Irish Oaks favorite – Magical Lagoon – is that we’ve seen 37% of the final 19 Irish Oaks winners go in. That’s 7 of the final 19 market leaders being profitable and three within the final 10 runnings, together with 12 months in the past with the short-priced Snowfall profitable.

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Irish Oaks 2022 Newest Betting, Runners and Chance Of Profitable

All odds appropriate as of 08:11 BST on Sat, 16 July and topic to alter

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Irish Oaks Latest Winners

• 2021 – SNOWFALL (2/7 fav)
• 2020 – EVEN SO (10/1)
• 2019 – STAR CATCHER (7/2)
• 2018 – SEA OF CLASS (11/4)
• 2017 – ENABLE (2/5 fav)
• 2016 – SEVENTH HEAVEN (14/1)
• 2015 – COVERT LOVE (7/1)
• 2014 – BRACELET (10/1)
• 2013 – CHICQUITA (9/2)
• 2012 – GREAT HEAVENS (5/4 fav)

Watch Snowfall Profitable The 2021 Irish Oaks

2022 Curragh Race Occasions and Schedule | Sat sixteenth July

• 1:30 – Juddmonte Farms Skilled Eye Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (2yo) 7f RTV
• 2:03 – Jebel Ali Racecourse And Stables Anglesey Stakes (Group 3) (2yo) 6½f RTE1
• 2:35 – Paddy Energy Scurry Handicap (Premier Handicap) (3yo+) 6½f RTE1
• 3:10 – Barberstown Fortress Sapphire Stakes (Group 2) (3yo+) 5f RTE1
• 3:45 – Juddmonte Irish Oaks (Group 1) (Fillies) (3yo) 1m4f ITV
• 4:20 – Kildare Village Women Derby Handicap (4yo+) 1m4f RTE1
• 4:50 – DMG Media Nursery Handicap (2yo) 6f RTV
• 5:25 – TaxAssist Accountants Kildare-South Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (3yo+) 1m RTV

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