For the primary time in 4 years, Flemington will probably be rocking on Cup Day.
A restriction free crowd is flocking again to the long-lasting Melbourne racecourse for the primary time because the begin of the pandemic.
Nevertheless, sometimes depressing Melbourne climate goes to do its finest to damage the occasion with 10mm of rain set to hit Melbourne on Tuesday, serving up a tender or heavy monitor.
The 162nd operating of the long-lasting handicap race is ready to get underway at 3pm (AEDT) on Tuesday November 1 and will be watched on Channel 10.
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Right here is the whole lot it’s good to know concerning the Race that Stops a Nation.
Melbourne Cup type information
Racing knowledgeable James Lamb from punters.com.au is predicting some surprises within the Melbourne Cup ending order. The racing guru is anticipating outsiders Hoo Ya Mal and Knights Order to contend on the entrance of the sphere after they go previous the put up for the second time.
Melbourne Cup verdict:
8. Deauville Legend
6. With out A Battle
12. Hoo Ya Mal
3. Knights Order
You may learn the complete type information for the Melbourne Cup right here.
You may as well see the complete barrier listing right here after Saturday’s draw.
Full Melbourne Cup betting odds
$3.80 Deauville Legend
$11 Montefilia, With out A Battle
$13 Gold Journey
$15 Realm Of Flowers
$17 Vow And Declare
$21 Duais, Knights Order, Stockman, Hoo Ya Mal, Lunar Flare, Emissary, Smokin’ Romans
$26 Younger Werther
$34 Camorra, Interpretation
$51 Numerian, Serpentine, Daqiansweet Junior, Grand Promenade, Excessive Emocean
$101 Arapaho, Tralee Rose, Level Nepean
Odds: TAB
Melbourne Cup prize cash
The Group 1 Melbourne Cup is a $7.75m race. On prime of the prize purse on supply, the successful connections will gather a 18ct stable gold trophy valued at $250,000.
1st place wins $4.4 million. 2nd place wins $1.1 million. Third place wins $550,000.
2021 Melbourne Cup winner, ending order
Coach Chris Waller’s Verry Elleegant gained the 2021 Melbourne Cup, piloted by jockey Dean Yendall.
1. Verry Elleegant
2. Incentivise
3. Spanish Mission
4. Floating Artist
$100 betting technique
$50 on Deauville Legend
$50 boxed quinella: 6, 8, 12
Go to punters.com.au’s Melbourne Cup hub for all the most recent breaking information, odds and betting.
How far do they run within the Melbourne Cup?
The staying race is run over 3200m.
What are the weights and penalties given to the runners?
French horse Gold Journey is on the prime weight of 57.5kg regardless of having solely ever gained one race. Excessive Emocean, Interpretation and Realm of Flowers are on the lowest weight of 50kg.
The Full listing of runners after Level Nepean scratched on Friday
The Cup discipline was reduce to 23 runners after Level Nepean was scratched after recording elevated blood outcomes.
Additionally on Monday morning, Racing Victoria reported that Lunar Flare was lame and would want to go one other vet verify Tuesday morning.
Interpretation, a $41 probability, additionally “introduced with lameness within the close to fore and off hind and also will be re-inspected tomorrow (Tuesday) morning.”
The opposite 21 runners have been cleared.
The most effective numbers to impress your mates
— Barrier 18 is the one gate by no means to supply a winner since boundaries have been first utilized in 1924
— The unluckiest Melbourne Cup saddlecloth is No.18 – final carried to victory by Peter Pan in 1932.
— 4 and five-year-old horses have the perfect file within the Melbourne Cup. 4YOs have gained 46 occasions and 5YOs have gained 44 occasions.
— from Information Corp Australia Racing Community
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Irrespective of how many individuals or how a lot cash on supply, you may generate your Melbourne Cup Sweep right here.
Learn on beneath for the complete Melbourne Cup type information, together with each runner analysed.
ANALYSIS
1. GOLD TRIP
Weight: 57.5kg — Barrier 14 — Odds win $11, place $3 — Coach: Ciaron Maher/Dave Eustace — Jockey: Mark Zahra
The Maher and Eustace import has lastly obtained some momentum getting in Australia, operating a detailed 2nd within the Caulfield Cup (2400m) earlier than racing with out luck within the Cox Plate (2040m) final begin. His finest type over 2400m is world-class however he’s a complete unknown past that distance.
Why he can win: He was solely simply grabbed late within the Caulfield Cup by a horse carrying 6kg lower than him. He ought to have completed nearer within the Cox Plate final begin and he handles moist floor.
Why he can’t win: He’s unproven past 2400m and has had a taxing preparation off a really lengthy break. Only a few horses win the Cup with greater than 57kg, with Makybe Diva the final to do it with 58kg in 2005.
2. DUAIS
55.5kg — Barrier 10 — Odds: win $23, place $6.50, — T: Edward Cummings — J: Hugh Bowman
One of many favourites for each Cups coming into this spring, the Edward Cummings-trained mare has been a number of lengths beneath her finest this prep. Her G1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m) run right here two-back was plain, however there have been extra encouraging indicators within the Caulfield Cup (2400m) final begin when coming from sixteenth on the 400m to complete eighth. Maybe she’s on the lookout for this journey?
Why she will be able to win: She was good successful the Australian Cup at this monitor and her Tancred Stakes victory was simply pretty much as good, if not higher. She discovered the road properly off an unsuitable tempo within the Caulfield Cup final begin.
Why she will be able to’t win: She was sound within the Caulfield Cup final begin however others right here have been higher. She’s but to position in 4 runs this marketing campaign and isn’t the identical horse we noticed within the autumn.
3. KNIGHTS ORDER
55.5kg — Barrier 24 — Odds win $23, place $6.50 — T: Gai Waterhouse/Adrian Bott — J: Tim Clark
Knights Order was crushed 25.65L on this occasion final yr however that was on a Good 4 monitor and his lead-up type was poor. He’s going significantly better this time round and is ready to strike his most popular moist floor. He battled on gamely for 4th within the G1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m) two-back, earlier than kicking strongly beneath stress to position within the Caulfield Cup (2400m) final begin.
Why he can win: He will get out in entrance and responds when challenged, as he did within the Caulfield Cup final begin when lifting off the canvas to seize third. He gained the Sydney Cup over this distance and loves moist floor.
Why he can’t win: The Sydney Cup type is never sturdy sufficient and he solely carried 51.5kg there however has 55.5kg on this. He’s had 5 begins at Flemington and failed to position.
4. MONTEFILIA
55.5kg — Barrier 11 — Odds: win $13, place $4 — T: David Payne — J: Jason Collett
A flat spot from the 600m to the 450m price Montefilia a greater end within the Caulfield Cup (2400m) final begin. She misplaced the again of Gold Journey and needed to choose up once more within the straight, which she did fairly strongly. She was very disappointing within the G2 Hill Stakes (2000m) at Randwick prior, however that was on a Heavy 8 monitor.
Why she will be able to win: Her Caulfield Cup run was wonderful and he or she might have actually examined Durston if she didn’t lose her spot and momentum across the dwelling flip. She’s had one earlier run right here for a G1 putting within the 2020 VRC Oaks.
Why she will be able to’t win: She positioned within the Oaks however that’s so far as she’s been (2500m) and he or she wasn’t sturdy by the road. She was actually poor on a Heavy 8 monitor two-back.
5. NUMERIAN
55.5kg — Barrier 7 —Odds: win $51, place $12 — T: Annabel Neasham — J: Tommy Berry
Numerian isn’t blessed with nice change-up pace however is an actual trier and has been a mannequin of consistency since ending down the monitor within the G1 Doncaster (1600m). He cut up the in-form Cascadian and Montefilia within the G2 Hill Stakes (2000m) two-back, earlier than battling on okay for fifth within the Caulfield Cup (2400m) final time.
Why he can win: His type this yr has been wonderful, at all times thereabouts at Listed and Group degree. He handles moist floor and was just one.15L away within the Caulfield Cup final begin.
Why he can’t win: He had his probability within the Caulfield Cup however didn’t seem to remain the 2400m journey. Stepping up an additional 800m appears to be like an enormous question.
6. WITHOUT A FIGHT
55.5kg — Barrier 18 — Odds: win $11, place $3.50 — T: Simon and Ed Crisford — J: William Buick
With out A Battle was crushed as a $3.50 favorite at Newmarket final begin however his effort was sound and adopted consecutive 2787m wins by 1.8L and three.5L. He usually places himself within the image early and will get the companies of one of the in-form jockeys on this planet in William Buick.
Why he can win: He very not often runs a nasty race, with solely three unplaced efforts throughout his 17-start profession. He recorded dominant back-to-back wins over 2787m in June/July and may deal with the space.
Why he can’t win: He’s by no means raced on a very moist monitor and his finest efforts have come on prime of the bottom. Barrier 18 means he’ll need to do a bit of labor early to discover a place.
7. CAMORRA
55kg — Barrier 17 — Odds: win $51, place $12 — T: Ben and JD Hayes — J: Ben Melham
You couldn’t probably again Camorra on his last-start effort within the G1 Irish St Leger (2816m) when crushed over 20L. The tender monitor was seemingly detrimental there as a result of he was wonderful successful the G2 Curragh Cup over the identical route prior. Primarily based on that he wants the rain to remain away and the monitor to dry out.
Why he can win: He gained the Curragh Cup – the identical race gained by earlier Melbourne Cup winners Twilight Cost and Rekindling. He can combine it up however his finest type (beating gifted stayer Wordsworth) reads effectively for this.
Why he can’t win: He’s solely had one begin since his Curragh Cup win in June and it was terrible, ending 20.7L from Kyprios within the Irish St Leger. He has been crushed large margins in his final three begins on rain-affected floor.
8. DEAUVILLE LEGEND
55kg — Barrier 9 — Win $3.60, place $1.80 — T: James Ferguson — J: Kerrin McEvoy
As a lightly-raced 4YO, this worldwide customer has the same profile to latest Cup winners Cross Counter (2018) and Rekindling (2017). He’s solely completed outdoors of the highest two as soon as in his seven-start profession and was dominant successful the G2 Nice Voltigeur Stakes (2385m) final begin. His type is tough to knock – he simply must do it over two miles.
Why he can win: He has a really comparable profile to 2018 Cup winner Cross Counter, minus the sunshine weight. He thrashed Cox Plate placegetter El Bodegon within the Nice Voltigeur Stakes final begin. Jockey Kerrin McEvoy has gained this race 3 times.
Why he can’t win: He’s by no means raced past 2615m and has by no means seen a tender monitor. Two miles on a genuinely rain-affected monitor might check him, particularly with 55kg – extra weight than similarly-credentialed internationals have carried on this race beforehand.
9. STOCKMAN
54kg — Barrier 12 — Odds: win $34, place $8 — T: Joe Pleasure — J: Sam Clipperton
Stockman, considerably surprisingly, raced over 2000m at Rosehill on Saturday after successful the St Leger (2600m) a fortnight in the past. He’s now had six begins for the marketing campaign, totally on moist tracks, so health actually gained’t be an excuse. He’s solely had one earlier run over this journey and was crushed 13.16L (this yr’s Sydney Cup).
Why he can win: He’s a swimmer, so the extra rain the higher. He’s been very constant this marketing campaign and was sturdy successful over 2600m on a moist monitor final begin.
Why he can’t win: He completed 13.16L away within the Sydney Cup over this distance. He was crushed by Alegron and Knights Order three-back and appeared to have his probability within the Metrop.
10. VOW AND DECLARE
54kg — Barrier 4 — Odds: win $17, place $4 — T: Danny O’Brien — J: Blake Shinn
Vow And Declare was a shock winner of this occasion in 2019, earlier than ending 18th in 2020. He solely had three runs final yr – all of them odd – however O’Brien has obtained him again on monitor this marketing campaign. He was stable within the G3 Bart Cummings (2510m) two-back, earlier than producing the same effort within the Caulfield Cup (2400m) final begin. He wants to enhance once more however he must be able to peak.
Why he can win: He gained this race in 2019 and solely has 2kg extra right here. O’Brien has obtained him again in type this spring, battling on effectively within the Caulfield Cup to complete inside 2L of the winner.
Why he can’t win: He hasn’t gained a race because the 2019 Cup, some 14 begins in the past. The truth is, he’s solely positioned on two events in that point. He doesn’t need it worse than a Delicate 7.
11. YOUNG WERTHER
54kg — Barrier 21 — Odds: win $34, place $8.50 — T: Danny O’Brien — J: Damian Lane
It’s been 13 begins since Younger Werther’s one and solely win – in a Geelong maiden over 1500m – however he’s been highly-competitive in some sizzling races. He was outclassed within the Cox Plate (2040m) final begin however nonetheless crossed the road with Gold Journey. He has run effectively over 2400m (in opposition to his personal age) however hasn’t raced past that distance.
Why he can win: He gave class stayer Incentivise a scare in final yr’s Turnbull Stakes at this monitor. His type this marketing campaign has been stable, ending solely 3.1L off Anamoe within the Cox Plate final begin.
Why he can’t win: He’s nonetheless caught on one win and is a question past 2500m. He positioned within the Vic Derby right here however that was behind Johnny Get Offended. He’s drawn to be recognizing the leaders a giant begin.
12. HOO YA MAL
53.5kg — Barrier 15 — Odds: win $21, place $6 — T: Gai Waterhouse/Adrian Bott — J: Craig Williams
Hoo Ya Mal has been very constant, except his most up-to-date efficiency within the G1 English St Leger (2922) at Doncaster. He was crushed 7.1L there after showing to have each probability. Previous to that although he was a giant winner over 2816m at Goodwood, after crossing the road with Deauville Legend within the G3 Gordon Stakes (2412m).
Why he can win: He was solely 0.4L off Deauville Legend over 2412m three-back and his jockey dropped the whip there. Waterhouse gained the 2013 Cup with Fiorente, who had additionally positioned within the Gordon Stakes beforehand.
Why he can’t win: He was horrible within the English St Leger final begin, with the tender situations blamed for the efficiency. That doesn’t bode effectively if the monitor is a Delicate 7 or worse right here.
13. SERPENTINE
53kg — Barrier 23 — Odds: win $51, place $12 — T: Robert Hickmott — J: John Allen
Serpentine will present Knights Order with a little bit of competitors for the lead, which might result in a powerful early tempo being set. The Lloyd Williams-owned import has been vastly disappointing in Australia, however did present good enchancment to position in Saturday’s G3 Archer Stakes (2500m) at this monitor.
Why he can win: He lastly confirmed one thing on Derby day, ending 2nd within the Archer Stakes. He gained the Epsom Derby by some 5.5L again in 2020.
Why he can’t win: He hadn’t fired a shot in 4 begins in Australia earlier than his Archer efficiency on Saturday. Exterior of the winner, that was a race filled with out-of-form gallopers.
14. DAQIANSWEET JUNIOR
53kg — Barrier 13 — Odds: win $51, place $12 — T: Phillip Stokes — J: Daniel Moor
This yr’s G2 Adelaide Cup (3200m) winner has been well-held in three runs this marketing campaign. He did have excuses within the G3 Bart Cummings (2510m) right here final begin although when masking extra floor. He’s been simpler on dry floor than moist.
Why he can win: He gained the Adelaide Cup over this journey and was stable within the Sydney Cup on a Heavy 10. He didn’t get pleasure from essentially the most economical run within the Bart Cummings right here final begin however was solely 2.4L off the winner.
Why he can’t win: The Adelaide Cup wasn’t a powerful race and Knight’s Order beat him by 4.58L within the Sydney Cup. He hasn’t completed nearer than seventh in three runs this preparation.
15. GRAND PROMENADE
53kg — Barrier 1 — Odds: win $51, place $10 — T: Ciaron Maher and Dave Eustace — J: Harry Coffey
Grand Promenade had a tricky run on this race final yr and hasn’t actually been the identical horse since. He’s had 4 begins and hasn’t seemed like putting, ending 11.75 off Francesco Guardi within the G2 Moonee Valley Cup (2500m) final begin. He wants it dry, and that appears unlikely.
Why he can win: He completed sixth on this race final yr after enduring a tricky run in transit. He’s a three-time winner at this monitor and is in an astute steady.
Why he can’t win: He hasn’t achieved something in 4 runs since final yr’s Cup. He was thrashed within the Moonee Valley Cup final begin when given a pleasant journey. Something worse than a Delicate 6 brings him undone.
16. ARAPAHO
52.5kg — Barrier 19 — Odds: win $51, place $10 — T: Bjorn Baker — J: Rachel King
Arapaho has been in work since March, racing 14 occasions this preparation for 3 wins. A type of victories came to visit Francesco Guardi within the G3 Premier’s Cup (2000m) at Randwick. He was sound over 2600m within the St Leger final begin however Stockman was higher.
Why he can win: He loves moist tracks, with 12 of his 14 profession placings approaching rain-affected floor. He’s crushed Franceso Guardi this marketing campaign and been aggressive with Durston.
Why he can’t win: He was well-held within the Metrop two-back and completed 1.82L off Stockman over 2600m final begin. He’s been up perpetually and it’s unlikely there may be a lot enchancment in him this preparation.
17. EMISSARY
51.5kg — Barrier 3 — Odds: win $26, place $7.50 — T: Mike Moroney — J: Patrick Moloney
Emissary is a difficult horse to get a correct learn on. He was extremely plain within the G2 Herbert Energy (2400m) two-back, earlier than successful a really comparable race – the G3 Geelong Cup (2400m) – in good vogue final begin. He will get in gentle right here with 51.5kg however he doesn’t need it too moist.
Why he can win: He was a trendy winner of the Geelong Cup final begin, which has been a stable information for this race previously. He drops from 56kg down to simply 51.5kg.
Why he can’t win: Firmer footing might have been the important thing to his sharp enchancment within the Geelong Cup. He gained’t get that right here and he has no type to talk of past 2500m.
18. LUNAR FLARE
51.5kg — Barrier 12 — Odds: win $15, place $4.50 — T: Grahame Begg — J: Michael Dee
Lunar Flare loved a stunning run in transit and was too sturdy for the in-form Francesco Guardi within the G3 Bart Cummings (2510m) right here. She then ran dwelling soundly behind that very same galloper over 2500m at The Valley final begin, ending 2.75L away from third.
Why she will be able to win: Her type is true up there so far as the locals go, successful the Bart Cummings two-back and putting within the Moonee Valley Cup. Prince of Penzance got here off the same set-up to win the 2015 Cup.
Why she will be able to’t win: She’s solely raced past 2500m as soon as and was crushed a good distance (at this monitor). There was solely 2.4L throughout the primary 10 throughout the road within the Bart Cummings, so it may not be the precise type for this.
19. SMOKIN’ ROMANS
51.5kg — Barrier 16 — Odds: win $26, place $7 — T: Ciaron Maher and Dave Eustace — J: Jamie Kah
Smokin’ Romans has been a revelation this spring, successful the G3 Naturalism (2000m) on a heavy monitor, earlier than recording a tender 1.5L victory within the G1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m). He was left flat-footed – extra pilot error than his personal fault – within the Caulfield Cup (2400m) final begin, so there have been excuses for him there.
Why he can win: He was despatched out favorite ($3.90) within the Caulfield Cup and was a contact unfortunate there, with Kah arguably lacking the boat. He handles all surfaces and is a three-time winner over 2500m.
Why he can’t win: He wasn’t within the A-ground within the Caulfield Cup but it surely nonetheless wasn’t a great Melbourne Cup trial. He was crushed 21.4L in his solely earlier run on this distance vary.
20. TRALEE ROSE
51.5kg — Barrier 22 — Odds: win $67, place $15 — T: Simon Wilde — J: Dean Yendall
Tralee Rose gave the impression to be travelling okay within the method to the ultimate flip within the Caulfield Cup (2400m) final begin however copped a good bump from the eventual winner Durston and misplaced momentum. She picked herself up once more to search out the road okay in her finest effort since final yr’s Melbourne Cup Ninth-placing.
Why she will be able to win: Her solely unplaced run in 5 begins at this monitor got here in final yr’s Melbourne Cup when galloped on within the run. She was unfortunate to not end a bit nearer within the Caulfield Cup final begin.
Why she will be able to’t win: She was going lots higher when crushed 16.7L on this occasion final yr. She’s completed seventh (of seven), 14th and thirteenth in three runs since and whereas sincere, others right here have been higher than her within the Caulfield Cup.
21. POINT NEPEAN
51kg — Barrier 20 — Odds: SCRATCHED, T: Robert Hickmott — J: Wayne Lordan
Level Nepean was withdrawn from the race on Monday morning after Racing Victoria stewards suggested he returned elevated blood ranges.
22. HIGH EMOCEAN
50kg — Barrier 8 — Odds: win $51, place $10, T: Ciaron Maher and Dave Eustace — J: Teo Nugent
Excessive Emocean has completed top-two in 12 of her 22 profession begins and handles all surfaces. She was well-beaten within the Bagot Handicap (2800m) right here again in January however she’s clearly improved since then. Whether or not she’s improved sufficient to be aggressive in that is the question.
Why she will be able to win: She’s very efficient on moist floor – particularly heavy (3:2-0-1). She’s been given a stable grounding into this, racing over 2400m+ at her final 4 begins.
Why she will be able to’t win: She was given an absolute peach of a journey to win the Bendigo Cup and that doesn’t look the precise type for this. She’s but to show herself on this distance vary, ending 14L from Warning over 2600m within the St Leger.
23. INTERPRETATION
50kg — Barrier 6 — Odds: win $41, place $10 — T: Ciaron Maher and Dave Eustace — J: Craig Newitt
This Maher and Eustace-trained import got here all the way down to Australia with a little bit of hype round him having gained three from six, together with a dominant Listed win over 2816m in Eire. He’s had numerous excuses however has been disappointing for his new steady to date, except a stable third to Lunar Flare within the G3 Bart Cummings (2510m) two-back.
Why he can win: He was stable within the Bart Cummings two-back and Francesco Guardi has franked the shape. His worldwide type suggests he’ll deal with the space, particularly with simply 50kg on his again.
Why he can’t win: He was crushed 4.15L in an odd Geelong Cup final begin, pulling up lame. Excessive Emocean comfortably had his measure after they clashed over 2500m right here three-back.
24. REALM OF FLOWERS
50kg — Barrier 5 — Odds: win $13, place $4 — T: Anthony and Sam Freedman — J: Damien Thornton
Realm Of Flowers was scratched from the Archer on Derby day, so the Freedman steady clearly don’t have any considerations along with her health ranges. She’s solely had three begins since ending sixth in final yr’s G3 Bart Cummings (2520m), and her newest was clearly her finest – simply lacking within the G1 Metrop after masking floor.
Why she will be able to win: She produced the run of the race within the Metrop final begin when simply crushed in a blanket end. She was a 4.75L winner over 2800m right here final yr and handles moist floor.
Why she will be able to’t win: She’s been well-held in three Melbourne runs since her Andrew Ramsden win. She was crushed 3.8L within the 2021 Sydney Cup and Carif had her measure within the Sandown Cup over this journey.
Go to punters.com.au’s Melbourne Cup hub for all the most recent breaking information, odds and betting.
Initially printed as Every little thing it’s good to know concerning the Melbourne Cup
