The merchants on Polynet give Trump a 56% probability of victory, with a 21-point lead over Biden within the upcoming 2024 elections. Polymarket customers, being crypto lovers, is perhaps biased in the direction of Trump, with analysts suggesting that Polymarket’s sentiments are pushed by Trump’s pro-crypto stance. In the meantime, on the extra conventional prediction market PredictIt, Trump leads Biden by a smaller margin of 50-45. In keeping with FiveThirtyEight, the race is even tighter, with Trump holding a mere one-point lead, indicating a extra aggressive contest.