Bitcoin’s (BTC) market dominance has historically been seen as a key indicator of its market power. Presently, the metric is at a multi-year excessive above 51%.
Nonetheless, a more in-depth evaluation means that the idea of “Bitcoin dominance” won’t be as informative because it appears, particularly when contemplating the broader dynamics of the cryptocurrency market.
Dominance: A deceptive BTC indicator?
The time period “Bitcoin dominance” refers to BTC’s share of the full market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies. Whereas on the floor, it appears to mirror Bitcoin’s market power, this metric largely represents the buying and selling exercise between Bitcoin and Ether (ETH), the second-biggest cryptocurrency and the biggest altcoin by market cap.
This dynamic can distort the perceived dominance of Bitcoin, particularly when main shifts happen inside the ETH/BTC buying and selling pair.
Associated: Ethereum shedding streak vs. Bitcoin hits 15 months — Can ETH value reverse course?
That stated, ETH’s “dominance” or share of the crypto market has remained comparatively steady for the previous few years round 17% — whereas the seemingly inverse relationship between BTC.D and ETH/BTC is clearly seen within the chart under.
The position of stablecoins and “sidelined” capital
Including complexity to the interpretation of Bitcoin’s dominance is the position of stablecoins like Tether (USDT), the second-biggest “altcoin” by market dominance at round 6.3% in the present day.
USDT’s market cap development is commonly not a direct results of cryptocurrency market exercise however quite an inflow of what may be termed “sidelined” capital—funds which can be primarily in {dollars} and infrequently ready to enter the market in the end.
Due to this fact, the growing market cap of stablecoins like USDT would not essentially mirror an funding in cryptocurrencies, however quite the preparedness of buyers to interact or hedge their crypto publicity.
In the meantime, the share of all the pieces else that is not Bitcoin, ETH or USDT is barely at round 25% and falling from multi-year highs of 35% in 2022.
Bitcoin “power” or Ethereum market dynamics?
All through 2023, the narrative of Bitcoin’s dominance has fluctuated. Whereas it appeared to regain dominance early within the 12 months, this was extra reflective of the ETH/BTC buying and selling dynamics quite than an combination market motion.
Equally, moments when Bitcoin’s dominance appeared to wane, as seen with the Shapella improve impacting ETH costs, had been extra indicative of Ethereum’s market actions quite than a lower in Bitcoin’s general market “power.”
Finally, the dominance chart will not be the definitive metric for understanding Bitcoin’s place available in the market. Swayed closely by the ETH/BTC buying and selling pair, and artificial {dollars}, affords a slim view of the market.
It is vital to think about a extra nuanced method to market metrics that encompasses the multifaceted nature of cryptocurrency investments and actions.
This text doesn’t comprise funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails danger, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a call.
