Matchday 22 of the Premier League season appears prefer it might be a vital one.
Leaders Liverpool seemed destined to drop factors away at Brentford earlier than a stoppage-time double from the under-fire Darwin Nunez impressed an enormous 2-0 win, which solely turned extra vital when Arsenal let a two-goal lead of their very own disappear towards Aston Villa later within the day.
There’s nonetheless an extended approach to go, however this is how the stats whizzes over at Opta see the Premier League title race unfolding after the newest spherical of drama.
Arsenal’s draw means Liverpool now sit six factors forward on the high of the standings, with the additional bonus of getting a sport in hand which they are going to play away at Everton subsequent month.
There is not any doubt about it, that is a big benefit at this level within the season.
That’s mirrored within the stats, with Opta giving Liverpool a whopping 91.5% of handing Arne Slot the Premier League trophy in his first season at Anfield. No crew has a better likelihood of ending in any single place than Liverpool do in first.
Mikel Arteta is aware of there’s a gulf to shut if Arsenal are to lastly win the title this 12 months. The stats are undoubtedly not on his aspect, with the Gunners given odds of simply 8.2% of wrestling the title away from Liverpool.
It isn’t a two-horse race, nonetheless. Eight-placed Manchester Metropolis are nonetheless given a 0.2% likelihood of finishing essentially the most gorgeous title turnaround in historical past, whereas the high-flying Nottingham Forest sit at 0.1%.
Newcastle United and Chelsea, who sit fourth and fifth respectively, will not be given any hope of profitable the large one.
Rank |
Membership |
Chance of profitable the title |
---|---|---|
1. |
Liverpool |
91.5% |
2. |
Arsenal |
8.2% |
3. |
Manchester Metropolis |
0.2% |
4. |
Nottingham Forest |
0.1% |